Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 21.03 | $0.143 | $3.89 | +$0.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Yes | buy | 10.68 | $0.360 | $3.85 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 25.52 |
| $0.509 |
| $1.91 |
| -$11.09 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 46.46 | $0.132 | $1.79 | -$4.33 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 9 | $0.120 | $1.49 | +$0.41 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.180 | $1.04 | -$3.96 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.390 | $0.8 | -$1.15 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.390 | $0.65 | -$1.3 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 2.74 | $0.730 | $0.01 | -$1.99 |
| buy |
| 11.9 |
| $0.420 |
| $5 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.065 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 3.26 | $0.613 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.8 | $0.090 | $0.07 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.090 | $0.19 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 98.88 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.065 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.64 | $0.999 | $3.64 | Jan 16, 2026 |