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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 291.66 | $0.480 | $217.29 | +$77.29 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 222.93 | $0.150 | $33.44 | 13h ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.1K |
| $0.153 |
| $176.16 |
| +$7.21 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 311.42 | $0.225 | $142.79 | +$72.74 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 251.02 | $0.552 | $135.93 | -$2.64 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 128.36 | $0.776 | $119.18 | +$19.57 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 116.27 | $0.860 | $109.7 | +$9.71 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 113.63 | $0.880 | $108.52 | +$8.52 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 385.36 | $0.300 | $105.97 | -$9.63 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 530.09 | $0.220 | $103.37 | -$13.25 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 131.01 | $0.778 | $102.58 | +$0.69 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 147.05 | $0.680 | $100.73 | +$0.74 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 306.26 | $0.207 | $44.41 | -$19.03 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 42.25 | $0.710 | $36.12 | +$6.13 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 75 | $0.400 | $35.63 | +$5.63 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 33.97 | $0.880 | $33.24 | +$3.35 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 50 | $0.600 | $32.25 | +$2.25 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 34.47 | $0.870 | $31.88 | +$1.9 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.150 | $27 | -$3 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 52.63 | $0.570 | $26.05 | -$3.95 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 53.57 | $0.560 | $25.98 | -$4.02 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 200 | $0.150 | $25 | -$5 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 52.63 | $0.570 | $25 | -$5 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 214.28 | $0.140 | $24.64 | -$5.36 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 50.59 | $0.591 | $18.84 | -$11.05 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 34.88 | $0.860 | $13.08 | -$16.92 |
| buy |
| 131.01 |
| $0.778 |
| $101.89 |
| 13h ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 251.02 | $0.552 | $138.56 | 21h ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 133 | $0.421 | $55.99 | 1d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.700 | $87.5 | 1d ago |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 385.36 | $0.300 | $115.61 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 89.8 | $0.230 | $20.65 | 2d ago |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 530.09 | $0.220 | $116.62 | 2d ago |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 993.35 | $0.140 | $139.07 | 2d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 214.28 | $0.140 | $30 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 33.97 | $0.880 | $29.89 | Jul 24, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.560 | $30 | Jul 24, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.82 | $0.470 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 139.53 | $0.214 | $29.86 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.758 | $29.92 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 34.47 | $0.870 | $29.99 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.63 | $0.750 | $29.72 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 41.09 | $0.730 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.269 | $29.89 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 50.59 | $0.591 | $29.9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 156.24 | $0.920 | $143.74 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 147.05 | $0.680 | $99.99 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 116.14 | $0.858 | $99.65 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 84.21 | $0.225 | $18.91 | Jul 5, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 113.63 | $0.880 | $99.99 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 128.36 | $0.776 | $99.61 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 116.27 | $0.860 | $99.99 | Jul 4, 2026 |