Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?No | sell | 802.34 | $0.020 | $16.05 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 469.69 |
| $0.985 |
| $462.64 |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.075 | $3.75 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.743 | $1.91K | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?No | buy | 600 | $0.700 | $420 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 177.16 | $0.737 | $130.57 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 359.17 | $0.790 | $283.74 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 1K | $0.048 | $47.95 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 2K | $0.790 | $1.58K | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 5.43K | $0.897 | $4.87K | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | sell | 4.89K | $0.996 | $4.87K | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 252.33 | $0.840 | $211.96 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 1K | $0.840 | $839.58 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 138.72 | $0.820 | $113.75 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.920 | $967.88 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 20-27?Yes | buy | 967.88 | $0.995 | $963.04 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 111.71 | $0.500 | $55.86 | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 763.93 | $0.510 | $389.48 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | buy | 2.72K | $0.830 | $2.26K | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.820 | $919.12 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.6K | $0.690 | $3.18K | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | sell | 550 | $0.770 | $423.5 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 400 | $0.800 | $320 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.740 | $1.79K | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 41.63 | $0.850 | $35.39 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | sell | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.712 | $3.56 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 Will Brazil unban X before October?No | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 GPT-5 not announced in 2024?No | buy | 390.44 | $0.440 | $171.79 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will Brazil unban X before October?No | buy | 403.91 | $0.820 | $331.21 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | buy | 650 | $0.780 | $507 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Another Trump x Musk space before October?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.870 | $1.18K | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 September 6?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.718 | $718 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $45k before October?No | buy | 400 | $0.850 | $340 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.717 | $751.04 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 69.74 | $0.717 | $50 | Sep 4, 2024 |