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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.910 | $1.38 | $0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.910 | $1.38 | 1d ago |
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| buy |
| 1.38 |
| $0.990 |
| $1.37 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.906 | $1.02 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.981 | $2.19 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.2K | $0.993 | $5.16K | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.994 | $5.17K | Jun 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ETUp | buy | 240 | $0.002 | $0.48 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ETUp | buy | 285 | $0.003 | $0.86 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.009 | $1.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.030 | $0.75 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2K | $0.996 | $1.99K | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.82K | $0.998 | $8.8K | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.88K | $0.997 | $8.85K | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.88K | $0.998 | $8.86K | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.23K | $0.996 | $1.23K | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.42K | $0.997 | $7.4K | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | sell | 3.84K | $0.997 | $3.83K | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | buy | 8.87K | $0.997 | $8.84K | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.997 | $1.05 | May 17, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.981 | $2.14 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.930 | $4.1 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.967 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.668 | $2.3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.997 | $5.1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.985 | $1.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.748 | $2.8 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.998 | $10.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.946 | $1.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.950 | $2.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.998 | $4.7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.947 | $1.7 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.993 | $1.7 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.967 | $1.2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.970 | $1.8 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.980 | $1.4 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.945 | $1.4 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 28?Yes | sell | 999.94 | $0.999 | $998.94 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 28?Yes | sell | 999.91 | $0.999 | $998.91 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 28?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.999 | $2.55K | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 28?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.999 | $2.9K | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 15?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.999 | $1.6 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.942 | $1.3 | Oct 15, 2025 |