Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81.25 | $0.800 | $68.66 | +$3.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.540 | $3.75 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 68.18 |
| $0.660 |
| $54.2 |
| +$9.2 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 102.56 | $0.390 | $47.69 | +$7.69 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 128.93 | $0.319 | $45.77 | +$4.59 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 108.5 | $0.238 | $41.07 | +$15.24 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 56.11 | $0.489 | $30.02 | +$2.59 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 27.17 | $0.911 | $26.21 | +$1.46 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 26.25 | $0.847 | $24.15 | +$1.93 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 115.32 | $0.217 | $22.54 | -$2.46 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 41.84 | $0.239 | $19.39 | +$9.39 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 43.12 | $0.340 | $18.76 | +$4.1 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 517.24 | $0.029 | $17.84 | +$2.84 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 94.84 | $0.107 | $15.36 | +$5.22 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 37.82 | $0.652 | $15.32 | -$9.35 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 136.36 | $0.110 | $12.95 | -$2.05 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 14.93 | $0.670 | $11.12 | +$1.12 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 11.31 | $0.821 | $9.45 | +$0.16 |
 Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | No | 14.49 | $0.690 | $8.84 | -$1.16 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.210 | $6.43 | -$3.57 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 20.64 | $0.379 | $5.98 | -$1.84 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 7.7 | $0.365 | $5.47 | +$2.66 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5.45 | +$0.45 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.28 | +$0.28 |
| buy |
| 7.92 |
| $0.590 |
| $4.67 |
| 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.500 | $0.63 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.490 | $0.13 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.490 | $3.42 | 1d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.775 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.500 | $0.74 | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.520 | $4.33 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.75 | $0.830 | $0.62 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.65 | $0.800 | $0.52 | 2d ago |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.810 | $0.41 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.810 | $0.44 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.68 | $0.820 | $1.38 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.12 | $0.730 | $3.01 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.709 | $1.16 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.710 | $3.59 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.710 | $0.72 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.710 | $0.71 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.710 | $0.33 | 4d ago |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.700 | $0.7 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5.04 | $0.710 | $3.58 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.710 | $3.57 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.710 | $0.71 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.710 | $3.57 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.720 | $2.17 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.9 | $0.710 | $1.35 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.710 | $0.72 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.710 | $0.75 | 4d ago |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 0.44 | $0.710 | $0.31 | 4d ago |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.950 | $4.55 | 5d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.996 | $2.53 | 7d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | sell | 2.65 | $0.981 | $2.6 | 7d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.986 | $4.61 | 7d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 45.05 | $0.111 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 48.54 | $0.103 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 16.72 | $0.253 | $4.23 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.253 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.253 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.79 | $0.253 | $0.2 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.253 | $0.05 | 10d ago |