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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 16.13 |
| $0.062 |
| $1.01 |
| +$0.01 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.018 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.403 | $0.24 | -$0.53 |
| sell |
| 1.02 |
| $0.988 |
| $1.01 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.080 | $1.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | sell | 3.31 | $0.680 | $2.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.330 | $1.42 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.200 | $1.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.12 | $0.236 | $2.39 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.992 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.973 | $1.11 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.887 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.850 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.760 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.770 | $1.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.955 | $1.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.996 | $1.99 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.943 | $2.81 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.330 | $1.57 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.762 | $3.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?No | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 6.27 | $0.947 | $5.94 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.800 | $5.14 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.570 | $3.93 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.870 | $6.24 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.930 | $6.75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | sell | 4.13 | $0.690 | $2.85 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.500 | $3.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.68 | $0.750 | $5.76 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | sell | 7.76 | $0.940 | $7.29 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.830 | $6.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.340 | $1.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.680 | $5.47 | Jun 30, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.720 | $5.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.07 | $0.830 | $6.7 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.16 | $0.400 | $3.26 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.730 | $6.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.01 | $0.690 | $6.22 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.997 | $8.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No | sell | 9.98 | $0.988 | $9.86 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes | sell | 8.08 | $0.240 | $1.94 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |