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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 250 | $0.081 | $59.38 | +$39.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 40 | $0.600 | $24 | 1d ago |
| Yes |
| 60 |
| $0.812 |
| $55.65 |
| +$6.93 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 80.63 | $0.511 | $48.38 | +$7.16 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 100 | $0.420 | $30.5 | -$11.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | $0.540 | $24.6 | +$3 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 100 | $0.049 | $18.15 | +$13.25 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 180 | $0.111 | $4.05 | -$15.93 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 225 | $0.085 | $1.13 | -$18.05 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 965 | $0.026 | $0.48 | -$24.52 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 100 | $0.048 | $0.1 | -$4.7 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.540 |
| $21.6 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.049 | $4.9 | 8d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | 8d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 40.62 | $0.862 | $35.03 | 10d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.103 | $25.8 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.570 | $22.8 | 13d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.096 | $47.9 | 14d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.976 | $10.72 | 14d ago |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.250 | $37.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.043 | $3.22 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.812 | $48.72 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.377 | $162.11 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 100 | $0.819 | $81.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.944 | $94.4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.873 | $87.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 26.89 | $0.099 | $2.66 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoNothing | sell | 6.08 | $0.923 | $5.61 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.896 | $6.28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.780 | $38.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 965 | $0.026 | $25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.227 | $34.05 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.015 | $13.37 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 118.07 | $0.072 | $8.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.123 | $6.15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.95 | $0.837 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?No | sell | 6.63 | $0.900 | $5.97 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.751 | $37.54 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.92 | $0.959 | $14.31 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.980 | $11.76 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaJakub Mensik | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca | sell | 2.22 | $0.530 | $1.18 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicJoao Fonseca | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.104 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 6 | $0.855 | $5.13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 11.99 | $0.873 | $10.47 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?No | sell | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.019 | $19 | May 14, 2026 |