Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump negative approval before March?Yes | buy | 100.41 | $0.498 | $50 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 270.27 |
| $0.740 |
| $200 |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 253.57 | $0.963 | $244.18 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 5.23K | $0.670 | $3.5K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.667 | $2K | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.365 | $550 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 67.48 | $0.739 | $49.87 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 206.61 | $0.484 | $100 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | buy | 405.41 | $0.740 | $300 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 181.73 | $0.596 | $108.39 | Sep 1, 2024 |
 Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?No | buy | 108.39 | $0.900 | $97.55 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 62.45 | $0.800 | $49.96 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?No | buy | 244.05 | $0.820 | $200 | Aug 16, 2024 |