Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 3K | $0.520 | $540 | -$1.02K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 402.6 | $0.020 | $8 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| $0.400 |
| $142.5 |
| -$57.5 |
| buy |
| 92.27 |
| $0.656 |
| $60.53 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 188.29 | $0.940 | $176.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.026 | $25.63 | May 18, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.906 | $50.34 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.270 | $27 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 76ers vs. Celtics76ers | buy | 94.78 | $0.130 | $12.32 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.780 | $1.17K | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 2K | $0.221 | $441.83 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 999.95 | $0.010 | $10.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 121 | $0.859 | $103.93 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonBigetron by Vitality | buy | 5.87 | $0.640 | $3.76 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonGeek Fam ID | buy | 6.16 | $0.590 | $3.64 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonAlter Ego | buy | 6.72 | $0.570 | $3.83 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.993 | $496.5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.150 | $155 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.220 | $300 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 883.36 | $0.840 | $742.02 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 14.03K | $0.190 | $2.67K | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 13.07 | $0.871 | $11.38 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.900 | $1.35K | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.540 | $269.99 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.770 | $385 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 538.46 | $0.989 | $532.54 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.543 | $271.71 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.996 | $1.26K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.53K | $0.975 | $3.44K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 26?Yes | sell | 254.23 | $0.820 | $208.47 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 26?Yes | buy | 255.56 | $0.848 | $216.81 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.989 | $89.01 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 650 | $0.420 | $273 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 4.54 | $0.983 | $4.46 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 1K | $0.977 | $976.92 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | buy | 264.85 | $0.928 | $245.84 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 599.64 | $0.580 | $347.79 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 608.68 | $0.033 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.942 | $1.94K | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?No | buy | 36.13 | $0.510 | $18.43 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?No | sell | 110 | $0.002 | $0.22 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?No | buy | 110 | $0.230 | $25.3 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?Yes | buy | 49.92 | $0.982 | $49.02 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.007 | $5.25 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.788 | $1K | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 4.01K | $0.990 | $3.97K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.320 | $640 | Feb 2, 2026 |