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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.02 |
| $0.996 |
| $5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 10.05 | $0.994 | $9.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 James Norton announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.962 | $4.82 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model for math on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.691 | $3.47 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.891 | $4.5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.984 | $4.95 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.932 | $4.67 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the US strike another country first?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |