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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.969 |
| $1 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$186 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$465 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Trey McBride be the Top Fantasy Tight End for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |