Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?No | buy | 82.71 | $0.680 | $56.24 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 55.28 |
| $0.971 |
| $53.68 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?No | buy | 46.61 | $0.988 | $46.05 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.971 | $15.54 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 25 | $0.995 | $24.88 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 40 | $0.198 | $7.92 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.840 | $12.6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 43.23 | $0.860 | $37.18 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.830 | $19.92 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.842 | $8.42 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 0.46 | $0.870 | $0.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 37 | $0.560 | $20.72 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 31.54 | $0.317 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.380 | $17.27 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.550 | $25 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.830 | $9.88 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Nov 26, 2025 |