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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.620 | $1.05 | Feb 16, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.47 |
| $0.740 |
| $1.09 |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.590 | $0.05 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Lula out before April?Yes | buy | 0.09 | $0.440 | $0.04 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.28 | $0.320 | $0.09 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?Yes | buy | 0.22 | $0.510 | $0.11 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.700 | $0.11 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.460 | $0.02 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?Yes | buy | 0.18 | $0.730 | $0.13 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Trump transgender sports ban?No | buy | 0.44 | $0.360 | $0.16 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Israel military strike against Iran in November?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.460 | $0.03 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will the AP call the election by November 5?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.290 | $0.09 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.470 | $0.05 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will Brighton beat Tottenham?No | buy | 0.28 | $0.680 | $0.19 | Oct 3, 2024 |
Will Inter Milan beat AC Milan?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.610 | $0.08 | Sep 22, 2024 |
Pershing Square IPO in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.09 | $0.530 | $0.05 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 6?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.978 | $0.16 | Aug 29, 2024 |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.510 | $0.15 | Aug 28, 2024 |
Candidates seated at ABC debate?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.969 | $0.11 | Aug 27, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.960 | $0.06 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3+ times at his Arizona speech?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.380 | $0.05 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.890 | $0.13 | Aug 21, 2024 |
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.43 | $0.370 | $0.16 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Trump lead by 1 or more points on August 16?No | buy | 0.09 | $0.990 | $0.09 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Election certified on January 6?Yes | buy | 0.06 | $0.950 | $0.06 | Aug 10, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.940 | $0.11 | Aug 5, 2024 |
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.968 | $0.1 | Aug 2, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 717.19 | $0.998 | $715.76 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 717.2 | $0.999 | $716.48 | Jul 24, 2024 |