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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.705 | $352 | +$70 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.020 | $6 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 372.62 |
| $0.841 |
| $318.59 |
| +$5.04 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 373.62 | $0.780 | $300.76 | +$9.45 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.803 | $286.5 | +$45.5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.810 | $270 | +$27 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 450 | $0.607 | $265.28 | -$8.02 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 180 | $0.820 | $166.5 | +$18.9 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 350 | $0.600 | $162.75 | -$47.25 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 220 | $0.860 | $161.26 | -$27.94 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 170 | $0.900 | $150.45 | -$2.55 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 160 | $0.670 | $138.4 | +$31.2 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 200 | $0.620 | $125 | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30? | Yes | 289.21 | $0.191 | $67.96 | +$12.66 |
| buy |
| 180 |
| $0.820 |
| $147.6 |
| 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.600 | $210 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30?Yes | buy | 102.46 | $0.175 | $17.96 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 245.37 | $0.790 | $193.84 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | 6d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 170 | $0.900 | $153 | 6d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.920 | $17.48 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.820 | $6.4 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 60.9 | $0.810 | $49.33 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.28 | $0.810 | $25.34 | 27d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | buy | 40.41 | $0.980 | $39.6 | 27d ago |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 28d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.4 | $0.920 | $71.21 | 28d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.890 | $132.61 | 29d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.25 | $0.938 | $70.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.890 | $177.93 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.978 | $48.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.961 | $96.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.977 | $195.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 63.37 | $0.920 | $58.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.853 | $17.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 65.69 | $0.928 | $60.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 144 | $0.955 | $137.52 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.959 | $191.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.520 | $98.8 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.519 | $15.57 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.519 | $155.76 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 29.73 | $0.978 | $29.08 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 160 | $0.600 | $96 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5)France | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under | buy | 74.87 | $0.668 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?No | sell | 36.36 | $0.318 | $11.54 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | sell | 106.66 | $0.285 | $30.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under | buy | 24.76 | $0.808 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.825 | $30 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 28.67 | $0.697 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under | buy | 31.02 | $0.967 | $30 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 106.67 | $0.562 | $60 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Spread: England (-2.5)Norway | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Spread: England (-3.5)Norway | buy | 104.44 | $0.957 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.927 | $5.87 | Jul 10, 2026 |