Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 365.85 | $0.820 | $320.12 | +$20.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 99.67 | $0.502 | $50 | 5d ago |
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| No |
| 120.48 |
| $0.830 |
| $119.64 |
| +$19.64 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 163.93 | $0.610 | $118.03 | +$18.03 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 99.67 | $0.502 | $57.26 | +$7.26 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 58.14 | $0.860 | $52.03 | +$2.03 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 56.25 | $0.889 | $51.47 | +$1.47 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.900 | $49.72 | -$0.28 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 163.71 | $0.867 | $25.38 | -$116.62 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 259.22 | $0.116 | $22.03 | -$7.97 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 116.67 | $0.300 | $1.81 | -$33.19 |
| buy |
| 259.22 |
| $0.116 |
| $30 |
| 5d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.25 | $0.889 | $50 | 5d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | 5d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 127.18 | $0.393 | $50 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.650 | $40 | 5d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | 6d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.300 | $35 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | sell | 226.25 | $0.163 | $36.77 | Aug 6, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 163.71 | $0.867 | $142 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 158 | $0.840 | $132.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?Yes | buy | 133.64 | $0.856 | $114.34 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | sell | 121.95 | $0.943 | $115 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 226.25 | $0.442 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 72.55 | $0.561 | $40.68 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio say "Trump" 3+ times during Fox News: My View appearance?Yes | buy | 143.06 | $0.699 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 142.79 | $0.849 | $121.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 109.65 | $0.912 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 66.23 | $0.755 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | buy | 80.83 | $0.619 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 305.36 | $0.250 | $76.34 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 117.1 | $0.311 | $36.42 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 119.46 | $0.840 | $100.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 309.68 | $0.614 | $190 | Jul 26, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 144.55 | $0.761 | $110 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.079 | $12.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 140.91 | $0.630 | $88.77 | Jul 22, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 140.92 | $0.710 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 117.1 | $0.276 | $32.32 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 119.46 | $0.837 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 104.88 | $0.477 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 258.4 | $0.387 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 305.37 | $0.327 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 345.35 | $0.460 | $158.86 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 204.7 | $0.487 | $99.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |