Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 203.33 | $0.920 | $198.66 | +$11.67 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.99 | $0.570 | $1.13 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 115.36 |
| $0.741 |
| $98.63 |
| +$13.11 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 33.55 | $0.756 | $28.51 | +$3.16 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 26.86 | $0.888 | $24.72 | +$0.86 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 51.85 | $0.565 | $24.11 | -$5.18 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 25.85 | $0.610 | $19.78 | +$4.02 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.01 | $0.891 | $16.25 | +$1.08 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 15.05 | $0.864 | $13.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 13.23 | $0.851 | $11.64 | +$0.38 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 12.24 | $0.817 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 65.6 | $0.305 | $9.51 | -$10.49 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 9.59 | $0.730 | $9.29 | +$2.29 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 10.51 | $0.857 | $9.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 8.55 | $0.936 | $8.48 | +$0.48 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 8.64 | $0.937 | $8.25 | +$0.16 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8.24 | $0.992 | $8.23 | +$0.06 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 9.29 | $0.800 | $7.94 | +$0.51 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 9.39 | $0.639 | $7.91 | +$1.91 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 7.94 | $0.539 | $7.47 | +$3.19 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.22 | $0.831 | $7.1 | +$1.1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 47.01 | $0.176 | $7.05 | -$1.22 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 6.83 | $0.879 | $6.58 | +$0.58 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 20.94 | $0.334 | $5.55 | -$1.45 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 5.68 | $0.926 | $5.28 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 2.75 |
| $0.750 |
| $2.06 |
| 13h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.83 | $0.510 | $0.42 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.360 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.610 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.330 | $0.12 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.330 | $0.66 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.6 | $0.580 | $2.09 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.580 | $2.2 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | 5d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.15 | $0.830 | $3.44 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 17.06 | $0.170 | $2.9 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.170 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 21.79 | $0.170 | $3.7 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 8.63 | $0.190 | $1.64 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.200 | $0.05 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | 6d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 46.02 | $0.140 | $6.44 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.95 | $0.140 | $0.13 | 6d ago |