Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.780 |
| $39 |
| Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 378.66 | $0.296 | $112.24 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.870 | $261 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | sell | 2.22K | $0.002 | $5.43 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.020 | $25 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 511.22 | $0.020 | $10.22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 454.68 | $0.019 | $8.63 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.761 | $30.43 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.799 | $23.97 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.841 | $42.07 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.290 | $87 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | sell | 24.55 | $0.124 | $3.04 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.158 | $1.11 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 17.55 | $0.087 | $1.53 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.160 | $19.2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.11 | $0.966 | $7.83 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.34 | $0.967 | $37.06 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.58 | $0.970 | $99.49 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.971 | $1.07K | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.969 | $426.36 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.960 | $72 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 202.39 | $0.936 | $189.36 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.899 | $22.48 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $269.91 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 259.06 | $0.879 | $227.76 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.07 | $0.860 | $88.64 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 127.07 | $0.855 | $108.7 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.72 | $0.838 | $52.54 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.27 | $0.835 | $74.54 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.660 | $165 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.680 | $27.2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.63 | $0.690 | $6.64 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.680 | $17 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.680 | $50.75 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.61 | $0.670 | $21.18 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.670 | $100.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.770 | $65.45 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Dec 31, 2025 |