Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 39.47 | $0.340 | $19.14 | +$5.72 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.440 | $4.4 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.98 |
| $0.590 |
| $13.74 |
| +$4.31 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 13.67 | $0.450 | $10.46 | +$4.31 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | No | 11.89 | $0.730 | $10.17 | +$1.49 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 9.56 | $0.270 | $7.7 | +$5.11 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 9.06 | $0.450 | $7.66 | +$3.58 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 8.4 | $0.760 | $7.6 | +$1.22 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 12.36 | $0.500 | $7.11 | +$0.93 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 8.43 | $0.500 | $6.36 | +$2.15 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 7.25 | $0.670 | $5.98 | +$1.12 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 18.89 | $0.350 | $5.95 | -$0.66 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.43 | $0.670 | $5.8 | -$0.52 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 7.75 | $0.550 | $5.62 | +$1.36 |
 Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.51 | $0.400 | $5.47 | +$0.86 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 23.22 | $0.360 | $5.46 | -$2.9 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 5.92 | $0.630 | $5.3 | +$1.57 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 5.36 | $0.420 | $4.69 | +$2.44 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 16.36 | $0.330 | $4.58 | -$0.82 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 5.09 | $0.480 | $4.45 | +$2.01 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 5.09 | $0.630 | $4.4 | +$1.2 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | No | 5.09 | $0.740 | $4.38 | +$0.61 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? | No | 5.09 | $0.570 | $4.35 | +$1.45 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 5.09 | $0.740 | $4.35 | +$0.59 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.09 | $0.700 | $4.33 | +$0.76 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5.09 | $0.400 | $4.25 | +$2.21 |
| buy |
| 17.52 |
| $0.560 |
| $9.81 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.510 | $9.81 | 5d ago |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.32 | $0.470 | $4.38 | 5d ago |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.905 | $4.61 | 5d ago |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.927 | $4.72 | 5d ago |
 Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.964 | $4.91 | 5d ago |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.968 | $4.93 | 5d ago |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.75 | $0.952 | $5.47 | 5d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 5.98 | $0.920 | $5.5 | 5d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.928 | $7.95 | 5d ago |
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No | sell | 10.84 | $0.940 | $10.19 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.920 | $12.1 | 5d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.550 | $5.64 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.500 | $3.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.540 | $4.29 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.400 | $4.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.520 | $3.72 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 16.36 | $0.330 | $5.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.390 | $4.23 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 5.09 | $0.500 | $2.55 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.3 | $0.370 | $6.77 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.410 | $2.52 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.470 | $3.85 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.340 | $13.42 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.29 | $0.410 | $5.04 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.29 | $0.420 | $5.16 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.390 | $4.83 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 8.54 | $0.970 | $8.28 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10.22 | $0.410 | $4.19 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.360 | $2.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | buy | 13.67 | $0.450 | $6.15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.450 | $3.68 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 15.49 | $0.390 | $6.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 18.89 | $0.350 | $6.61 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.500 | $3.28 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.620 | $3.89 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 14.72 | $0.968 | $14.25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.92 | $0.370 | $4.04 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 23.33 | $0.300 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.490 | $2.49 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | sell | 18.72 | $0.490 | $9.17 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.92 | $0.400 | $4.37 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 18.72 | $0.500 | $9.36 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.330 | $7.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No | sell | 6.64 | $0.510 | $3.39 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.430 | $4.07 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.450 | $3.75 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 6.54 | $0.971 | $6.35 | Jul 13, 2026 |