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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 2.44 | $0.997 | $2.43 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.997 | $2.43 | 1h ago |
![]() |
| sell |
| 4.09 |
| $0.993 |
| $4.06 |
| 1h ago |
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.995 | $4.07 | 5h ago |
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.988 | $3.89 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.980 | $3.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.987 | $3.27 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | sell | 3.32 | $0.936 | $3.11 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.955 | $3.18 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.978 | $4.08 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | sell | 4.14 | $0.986 | $4.08 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Sophia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.995 | $4.12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.988 | $4.07 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.994 | $4.04 | Feb 2, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.987 | $3.99 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Israel strike on Gulf State by December 31?No | buy | 3.99 | $0.992 | $3.96 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 17?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.978 | $3.87 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | sell | 3.95 | $0.981 | $3.87 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.994 | $3.93 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win between 10% and 13% of votes in the first round?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.950 | $3.73 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?Yes | buy | 3.73 | $0.989 | $3.69 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.989 | $2.52 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Next French confidence vote passes?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in September?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.997 | $2.51 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Lula out before April?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.972 | $1.24 | Mar 6, 2025 |
Lula out before April?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.980 | $1.26 | Feb 21, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.950 | $1.66 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.996 | $4.49 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.950 | $1.05 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.998 | $1.56 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.977 | $1.3 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.991 | $1.02 | Nov 24, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.998 | $1.47 | Nov 24, 2024 |
Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 18.51K | $0.001 | $18.51 | Nov 17, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 18.51K | $0.001 | $18.51 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.980 | $0.77 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.997 | $2.4 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 3.18K | $0.998 | $3.18K | Oct 21, 2024 |
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 3.18K | $0.999 | $3.18K | Oct 21, 2024 |
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 3.19K | $0.998 | $3.18K | Oct 21, 2024 |
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 3.19K | $0.999 | $3.18K | Oct 21, 2024 |
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
US bank failure by October 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.960 | $1.04 | Oct 18, 2024 |
30-year mortgage rate below 6% before election?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.980 | $1.01 | Oct 18, 2024 |
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.986 | $1.26 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No | buy | 0.74 | $0.920 | $0.68 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.999 | $1.31 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 325-349 October 11-18?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.989 | $1.67 | Oct 13, 2024 |
September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.979 | $1.11 | Oct 13, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 12.49K | $0.002 | $24.98 | Oct 5, 2024 |