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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 459.65 | $0.109 | $36.77 | -$13.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.050 |
| $7.8 |
| +$2.8 |
 Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $4.5 | -$0.5 |
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $1.61 | -$3.39 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $0.84 | -$4.16 |
| buy |
| 310.56 |
| $0.161 |
| $50 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 459.65 | $0.109 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 279.85 | $0.036 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.56 | $0.063 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by March 31?Yes | buy | 374.69 | $0.027 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes | buy | 292.98 | $0.051 | $15 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.170 | $78.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.964 | $141.76 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.147 | $52.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.100 | $46 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 620.12 | $0.081 | $50 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.011 | $30 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.170 | $25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 533.33 | $0.120 | $64 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 5.8K | $0.021 | $121.97 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.090 | $25 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 533.33 | $0.180 | $96 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 64.94 | $0.077 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.52K | $0.210 | $1.16K | Jan 14, 2026 |