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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 364.19 | $0.917 | $336.88 | +$2.87 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.890 | $4.65 | Aug 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 270.86 |
| $0.920 |
| $264.36 |
| +$15.17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 288.89 | $0.805 | $244.11 | +$11.62 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 123.89 | $0.764 | $105.61 | +$10.94 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 121.99 | $0.763 | $104.31 | +$11.18 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 93.49 | $0.880 | $86.48 | +$4.17 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 69.24 | $0.872 | $59.2 | -$1.21 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 62.36 | $0.890 | $58.93 | +$3.43 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50.75 | $0.826 | $42.46 | +$0.55 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 51.33 | $0.680 | $34.65 | -$0.26 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 37.67 | $0.433 | $30.32 | +$14.02 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 31.14 | $0.948 | $29.53 | +$0.01 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 29.39 | $0.383 | $27.19 | +$15.93 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 27.95 | $0.662 | $25.02 | +$6.52 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 16.73 | $0.867 | $14.72 | +$0.21 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 8.52 | $0.850 | $8.3 | +$1.06 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 5.13 | $0.750 | $4.49 | +$0.64 |
| buy |
| 5.22 |
| $0.890 |
| $4.65 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.890 | $4.65 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 22.36 | $0.850 | $19.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.110 | $3.09 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10.82 | $0.110 | $1.19 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 8.26 | $0.110 | $0.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 33.86 | $0.110 | $3.72 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 101.23 | $0.830 | $84.02 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.890 | $4.65 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 51.6 | $0.100 | $5.16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 282.24 | $0.845 | $238.4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.870 | $9.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.750 | $3.85 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.880 | $4.48 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.880 | $4.48 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.790 | $4.09 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.380 | $1.95 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.390 | $3.58 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.380 | $5.73 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.790 | $4.09 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.790 | $4.09 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 23.82 | $0.790 | $18.82 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 31.52 | $0.410 | $12.92 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.440 | $2.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.440 | $2.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 51.98 | $0.830 | $43.14 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.320 | $1.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.775 | $4.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.780 | $4.33 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 51.54 | $0.777 | $40.06 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 17.87 | $0.790 | $14.12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.780 | $5.66 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.774 | $4.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.779 | $4.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.38 | $0.778 | $11.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 46.37 | $0.380 | $17.62 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.380 | $3.05 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.890 | $4.65 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.890 | $4.65 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |