Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.920 | $48.28 | +$2.28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.019 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 271 |
| $0.260 |
| $36.59 |
| -$33.86 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.39 | $0.610 | $15.33 | +$5.33 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 443.54 | $0.021 | $8.21 | -$1.11 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 3.33 | $0.300 | $2.58 | +$1.58 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.470 | $2.43 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
| buy |
| 443.54 |
| $0.021 |
| $9.31 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.940 | $6.71 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 15 | $0.853 | $12.8 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Steroid" in November?No | buy | 28.54 | $0.630 | $17.98 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (November 17 – 23)No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Steroid" in November?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.620 | $0.1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.150 | $90 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 64.82 | $0.140 | $9.07 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 25.14 | $0.130 | $3.27 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes | sell | 170.35 | $0.100 | $17.04 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.103 | $5.25 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.120 | $0.04 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 28 | $0.790 | $22.12 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.851 | $7.06 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say the "N word" in November?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Johannes Kaiser win between 16% and 19% of votes in the first round?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Jaime Mulet come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 221.67 | $0.029 | $6.5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Democrats win four elections in Nov?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.999 | $6.66 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | sell | 226.92 | $0.760 | $172.46 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?Proposition 50 | buy | 1.11 | $0.904 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 40.92 | $0.860 | $35.19 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.500 | $63 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Democrats win between 55 and 59 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?No | buy | 166.52 | $0.950 | $158.19 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Democrats win four elections in Nov?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.930 | $6.2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?No | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?No | buy | 270.88 | $0.050 | $13.54 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | sell | 5.68 | $0.380 | $2.16 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | sell | 50.84 | $0.470 | $23.89 | Nov 5, 2025 |