Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.111 |
| $5.57 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 4.1K | $0.002 | $8.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.002 | $2.73 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?Yes | sell | 550 | $0.004 | $2.25 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.018 | $5.4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 205.4 | $0.019 | $3.88 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $39.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 13.33K | $0.003 | $39.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.003 | $5.47 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 68.46 | $0.080 | $5.48 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3.31K | $0.003 | $9.94 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3K | $0.003 | $9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3K | $0.003 | $9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2.85K | $0.003 | $8.55 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will "Hamnet" win no awards at the Oscars?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.060 | $2.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.004 | $0.24 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.24 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?Yes | sell | 244.92 | $0.001 | $0.24 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 760.15 | $0.014 | $10.99 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?Yes | buy | 17.46 | $0.060 | $1.05 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?Yes | buy | 17.46 | $0.060 | $1.05 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by Feburary 1?Yes | sell | 220.3 | $0.013 | $2.86 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 278.55 | $0.110 | $30.64 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes | sell | 192.13 | $0.023 | $4.42 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 519.55 | $0.018 | $9.35 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will the US strike another country first?Yes | sell | 348.83 | $0.001 | $0.35 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 80.08 | $0.017 | $1.36 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?Yes | sell | 69.54 | $0.013 | $0.9 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.017 | $0.12 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?Yes | sell | 90.56 | $0.019 | $1.72 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.029 | $1.06 | Jan 22, 2026 |