Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5.31 | $0.941 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.31 |
| $0.942 |
| $5.04 |
| +$0.04 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5.27 | $0.949 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.19 | $0.963 | $4.99 | -$0.01 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 5.27 |
| $0.949 |
| $5 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.942 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.941 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.945 | $6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.970 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.966 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.951 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.184 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.960 | $9 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.968 | $9 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.920 | $9 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.943 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.996 | $6.29 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.25 | $0.999 | $10.24 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.214 | $1.5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.971 | $7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.949 | $6 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.962 | $4.27 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.910 | $2.36 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 4.21 | $0.991 | $4.17 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 4.45 | $0.899 | $4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.800 | $23.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.965 | $4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.985 | $2.16 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.978 | $2.22 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.934 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |