Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $1.78 | -$3.22 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.75 |
| -$4.25 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.008 | $0.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.008 | $0.63 | -$9.38 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.150 | $0.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 10 | $0.180 | $0.45 | -$1.36 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 4.52 |
| $0.221 |
| $1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 99.01 | $0.101 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 8.18 | $0.014 | $0.11 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes | buy | 77.44 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 383.52 | $0.013 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Colombia next?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes | buy | 73.21 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 59.44 | $0.050 | $3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes | buy | 122.37 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.061 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 5-11?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?No | buy | 9.82 | $0.102 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |