Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.28 |
| $0.960 |
| $1.23 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.730 | $1.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.900 | $1.22 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?Yes | buy | 221.59 | $0.045 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 ECB rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | sell | 147.48 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | buy | 147.49 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Bernie say "Trump" 12+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Bernie say "Musk" or "Zuckerberg" or "Bezos" 7+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |