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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 321 | $0.400 | $20.7 | -$107.7 |
Databricks IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | sell | 256 | $0.790 | $202.24 | Mar 30, 2026 |
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| No |
| 4 |
| $0.560 |
| $3.78 |
| +$1.54 |
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 4 | $0.780 | $2.88 | -$0.24 |
Deel IPO before 2027? | Yes | 24 | $0.550 | $1.08 | -$12.12 |
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.280 | $0.06 | -$0.23 |
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.53 | $0.860 | $0.03 | -$0.43 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.25 | $0.028 | $0 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 256 |
| $0.740 |
| $189.44 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No | sell | 113 | $0.900 | $101.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?No | sell | 402 | $0.130 | $52.26 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?No | sell | 65 | $0.130 | $8.45 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No | buy | 113 | $0.830 | $93.79 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?No | buy | 467 | $0.460 | $214.82 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville AcesEvansville Aces | buy | 574 | $0.770 | $441.98 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 435 | $0.337 | $146.6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 73 | $0.741 | $54.12 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 441 | $0.120 | $52.92 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 435 | $0.379 | $164.87 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 73 | $0.740 | $54.02 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 441 | $0.240 | $105.84 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?No | buy | 482 | $0.190 | $91.58 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 321 | $0.400 | $128.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 214 | $0.221 | $47.29 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 29 | $0.985 | $28.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Adolescence win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.997 | $131.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 29 | $0.985 | $28.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No | sell | 257 | $0.899 | $231.09 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 174 | $0.750 | $130.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 479 | $0.999 | $478.52 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?No | sell | 802 | $0.600 | $481.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?No | buy | 802 | $0.850 | $681.7 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?No | sell | 147 | $0.350 | $51.45 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?No | buy | 147 | $0.360 | $52.92 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Michigan" during the State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.410 | $44.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "Hoax" on Truth Social this week?No | sell | 199 | $0.670 | $133.33 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.025 | $1.85 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "Hoax" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 199 | $0.670 | $133.33 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.029 | $2.84 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Brooke Rollins attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 299 | $0.070 | $20.93 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Brooke Rollins attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 299 | $0.370 | $110.63 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?No | sell | 582 | $0.470 | $273.54 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?No | buy | 582 | $0.470 | $273.54 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Thomas Tillis be the Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina?Yes | buy | 645 | $0.021 | $13.55 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?No | sell | 256 | $0.150 | $38.4 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 557 | $0.810 | $451.17 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 239 | $0.810 | $193.59 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 796 | $0.800 | $636.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?No | buy | 256 | $0.210 | $53.76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 174 | $0.780 | $135.72 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Remote IPO before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.850 | $13.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Remote IPO before 2027?No | sell | 117 | $0.840 | $98.28 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.004 | $0.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 164 | $0.032 | $5.25 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 640 | $0.690 | $441.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |