Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 3.23 | $0.760 | $2.45 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.08 |
| $0.480 |
| $1 |
| Jun 23, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.241 | $1.05 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.690 | $0.88 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.280 | $2.07 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | May 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
 Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | May 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | May 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |