Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 4K | $0.632 | $2.58K | +$52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.958 | $3.07K | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.5K |
| $0.480 |
| $1.87K |
| +$192.5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 2K | $0.830 | $1.73K | +$70 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2.8K | $0.357 | $518 | -$482 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 360 | $0.570 | $234 | +$28.8 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 110 | $0.850 | $88.55 | -$4.95 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $84.5 | +$3.5 |
| buy |
| 456.08 |
| $0.620 |
| $282.77 |
| 4d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.14K | $0.840 | $1.8K | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.480 | $1.68K | 12d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 3K | $0.830 | $2.49K | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.03K | $0.480 | $3.37K | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11K | $0.570 | $6.27K | 12d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 525 | $0.750 | $393.75 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 4.48K | $0.860 | $3.85K | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 799.99 | $0.680 | $543.99 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 178.78 | $0.610 | $109.06 | 15d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.810 | $648 | 15d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | 20d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.993 | $297.9 | 20d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 140 | $0.975 | $136.51 | 20d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 800 | $0.830 | $664 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.370 | $592 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.710 | $816.5 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.650 | $1.01K | 23d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 462.19 | $0.865 | $400 | 25d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 240 | $0.940 | $225.6 | 25d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.895 | $268.5 | 25d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.570 | $205.2 | 26d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.993 | $595.8 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.720 | $216 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.460 | $782 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.620 | $888.53 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.620 | $434 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.890 | $169.1 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 372.34 | $0.940 | $350 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.985 | $295.5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 210 | $0.660 | $138.6 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.460 | $230 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.600 | $228 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.600 | $240 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.630 | $567 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.569 | $113.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.880 | $123.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 383.63 | $0.034 | $13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 910 | $0.830 | $755.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 45 | $0.967 | $43.52 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 206.4 | $0.610 | $125.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.590 | $236 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 85 | $0.975 | $82.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |