Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 8.16 | $0.996 | $8.1 | -$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.996 | $8.13 | 21h ago |
 |
| buy |
| 8.53 |
| $0.997 |
| $8.5 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 3.76 | $0.978 | $3.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.979 | $3.69 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.998 | $8.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.999 | $3.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.937 | $2.39 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.961 | $2.46 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 9.12 | $0.992 | $9.05 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 9.06 | $0.995 | $9.01 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 17?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.969 | $8.73 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.995 | $8.69 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 8.68 | $0.994 | $8.63 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 17?No | buy | 8.63 | $0.970 | $8.37 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 8.38 | $0.997 | $8.35 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Meta (META) close at $600-$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.990 | $8.27 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Airbnb (ABNB) close above $140 end of November?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.990 | $8.18 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on November 19?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.987 | $8.08 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes | sell | 8.68 | $0.930 | $8.07 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes | buy | 8.68 | $0.940 | $8.16 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | sell | 8.3 | $0.984 | $8.17 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 8.3 | $0.984 | $8.17 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Next French confidence vote passes?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.997 | $8.14 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.964 | $4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.969 | $2.72 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.997 | $2.72 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.985 | $2.68 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 7.39 | $0.964 | $7.12 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.974 | $2.87 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.974 | $2.88 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.997 | $1.14 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?No | buy | 0.75 | $0.999 | $0.75 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 0.96 | $0.966 | $0.93 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.999 | $2.48 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.994 | $2.3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 44.57K | $0.001 | $44.57 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.57K | $0.001 | $44.57 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | buy | 44.57K | $0.001 | $44.57 | Dec 16, 2024 |