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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 417.65 | $0.735 | $355.83 | +$48.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 276.88 | $0.748 | $207 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 194.26 |
| $0.927 |
| $181.63 |
| +$1.63 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $107.47 | +$7.47 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 108.11 | $0.925 | $101.73 | +$1.73 |
| sell |
| 214.13 |
| $0.967 |
| $207.14 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.958 | $1.03K | Jul 6, 2026 |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.940 | $1.25K | Jul 1, 2026 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 215.05 | $0.940 | $202.15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | sell | 567.43 | $0.985 | $559.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | sell | 169.03 | $0.988 | $167.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 106.38 | $0.993 | $105.64 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 41.25 | $0.970 | $40 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 310.87 | $0.965 | $300 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 309.92 | $0.968 | $300 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 477.82 | $0.988 | $472.09 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 145.4 | $0.992 | $144.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 209 | $0.957 | $200 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 220.85 | $0.989 | $218.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34.9 | $0.860 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.330 | $36.67 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 129.63 | $0.810 | $105 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?No | sell | 106.87 | $0.980 | $104.73 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 215.31 | $0.836 | $180 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 186.71 | $0.973 | $181.67 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.960 | $40 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 121.2 | $0.825 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?No | buy | 106.87 | $0.936 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | buy | 55.32 | $0.904 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 69.65 | $0.718 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.999 | $43.43 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No | sell | 102.72 | $0.999 | $102.62 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | sell | 116.27 | $0.999 | $116.15 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 207.63 | $0.999 | $207.42 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 294.14 | $0.999 | $293.85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 71.12 | $0.703 | $50 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | sell | 238.09 | $0.210 | $50 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.950 | $40 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 32.22 | $0.990 | $31.9 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 72.14 | $0.832 | $60 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 108.11 | $0.925 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 246.47 | $0.991 | $244.25 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 116.53 | $0.875 | $102 | May 29, 2026 |