Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $402.25 | +$152.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 52 | $0.988 | $51.38 | May 16, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 358 |
| $0.875 |
| $357.46 |
| +$44.03 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 644 | $0.432 | $125.9 | -$152.46 |
 Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 31 | $0.740 | $30.75 | +$7.81 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 50 | $0.210 | $26.25 | +$15.75 |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | No | 22.78 | $0.607 | $22.41 | +$8.58 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 20.57 | $0.710 | $19.34 | +$4.73 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.420 | $5.1 | -$3.3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.160 | $0.91 | -$3.87 |
 Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 110 | $0.154 | $0.77 | -$16.15 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30 | $0.103 | $0.11 | -$3 |
| buy |
| 57 |
| $0.254 |
| $14.48 |
| May 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.103 | $3.1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 52.91 | $0.600 | $31.75 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 151 | $0.165 | $24.92 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.290 | $0.16 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.210 | $10.92 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.080 | $3.44 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.210 | $3.15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 31 | $0.740 | $22.94 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.690 | $3.39 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.222 | $4.44 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No | buy | 17.66 | $0.683 | $12.06 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 18 | $0.370 | $6.66 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.354 | $2.48 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.991 | $14.41 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.954 | $18.13 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 7 | $0.580 | $4.06 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 61 | $0.571 | $34.85 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 55 | $0.969 | $53.3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.978 | $4.99 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 4 | $0.981 | $3.92 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.149 | $2.24 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.302 | $51.36 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.977 | $4.98 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 55 | $0.982 | $54.02 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.300 | $44.94 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.303 | $60.53 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.130 | $1.43 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.870 | $9.57 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 586 | $0.277 | $162.32 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.999 | $7.99 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.441 | $2.2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.945 | $189 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 200 | $0.977 | $195.43 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 54.11 | $0.998 | $54 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.051 | $2.6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.450 | $44.1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.952 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |