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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 76.79 | $0.221 | $4.99 | -$12.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 20.16 |
| $0.248 |
| $2.91 |
| -$2.09 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 7.89 | $0.380 | $2.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 27.78 | $0.180 | $2.08 | -$2.92 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 12.77 | $0.313 | $1.93 | -$2.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 11.77 | $0.170 | $1.71 | -$0.3 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $1.1 | -$3.9 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 31.45 | $0.159 | $0.99 | -$4.01 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 1.01 | $0.745 | $0.98 | +$0.23 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 1.01 | $0.986 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.57 | $0.637 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $0.58 | -$1.43 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.947 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.77 | $0.530 | $0.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 2.94 |
| $0.680 |
| $2 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.940 | $9.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.860 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.936 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 32.05 | $0.312 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.234 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 20.92 | $0.239 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 37.17 | $0.269 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 36.76 | $0.272 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.296 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.954 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.943 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.93 | $0.722 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.61 | $0.485 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.894 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 3.6 | $0.830 | $2.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.912 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.161 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |