Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 3.5K | $0.571 | $3.03K | +$1.03K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 184.64 | $0.002 | $0.37 | 21d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.11K |
| $0.650 |
| $1K |
| +$283.05 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.511 | $805 | +$90 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 481.69 | $0.710 | $474.46 | +$132.47 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 448.07 | $0.861 | $435.97 | +$49.97 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 600 | $0.557 | $297 | -$37 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.48K | $0.846 | $287.78 | -$960.97 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.880 | $273 | +$9 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 415.64 | $0.548 | $263.93 | +$35.93 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.710 | $205.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.850 | $196.79 | +$26.8 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 249.99 | $0.666 | $196.24 | +$29.75 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 200 | $0.850 | $177 | +$7 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 350 | $0.740 | $162.75 | -$96.25 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 199.98 | $0.680 | $150.99 | +$15 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.840 | $148.73 | +$22.73 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 150 | $0.850 | $138.75 | +$11.25 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.750 | $105 | -$45 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $91.5 | +$10.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 61.73 | $0.810 | $61.33 | +$11.33 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.440 | $20 | -$24 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 119.99 | $0.630 | $3.36 | -$72.23 |
| buy |
| 900 |
| $0.002 |
| $1.8 |
| 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.006 | $18 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.005 | $0.05 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.008 | $24 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.008 | $16 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.007 | $21 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.007 | $10.5 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 683.27 | $0.012 | $8 | 23d ago |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.011 | $12 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No | buy | 265.64 | $0.565 | $150 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.360 | $72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.711 | $113.76 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 13 | $0.590 | $7.67 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.860 | $129 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.86 | $0.850 | $17.73 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.560 | $168 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 77.98 | $0.750 | $58.49 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.740 | $5.92 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 775 | $0.994 | $770.35 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 127.13 | $0.787 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 115.53 | $0.866 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 59.12 | $0.846 | $50 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 56.5 | $0.885 | $50 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 237.64 | $0.842 | $200 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 226.24 | $0.884 | $200 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 348.07 | $0.862 | $300 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.153 | $383.03 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.040 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.060 | $300 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | buy | 128.91 | $0.776 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 281.69 | $0.710 | $200 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 289.85 | $0.480 | $139.13 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | sell | 800 | $0.999 | $799.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Jul 8, 2026 |