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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 230.13 | $0.326 | $28.54 | -$46.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 76.92 |
| $0.052 |
| $4 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | buy | 800 | $0.015 | $12 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 42.45 | $0.471 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.450 | $15 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.56 | $0.066 | $4 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 19.53 | $0.905 | $17.67 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No | buy | 183.64 | $0.109 | $20 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 19.53 | $0.256 | $5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | sell | 51.94 | $0.860 | $44.67 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | buy | 51.95 | $0.770 | $40 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.034 | $3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 203.02 | $0.025 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.802 | $28.62 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 85.95 | $0.562 | $48.29 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.600 | $16 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 18?Yes | buy | 155.15 | $0.013 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.238 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 48.65 | $0.411 | $20 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?No | buy | 28.73 | $0.696 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.920 | $28.3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?Yes | sell | 31.2 | $0.920 | $28.7 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 210.39 | $0.190 | $40 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.11 | $0.190 | $8 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 981.08 | $0.020 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5 and 1.0%?Yes | buy | 83.25 | $0.300 | $25 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 193.55 | $0.310 | $60 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Yes | sell | 166.15 | $0.961 | $159.67 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?Yes | buy | 31.2 | $0.737 | $23 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Yes | buy | 80.44 | $0.510 | $41 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.967 | $42.97 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 85.95 | $0.582 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 15.09 | $0.530 | $8 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 19?Yes | buy | 31.76 | $0.600 | $19.06 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |