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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 5.86 | $0.960 | $5.61 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.960 | $5.63 | 11d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 5.91 |
| $0.933 |
| $5.51 |
| 11d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.930 | $5.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Reckless Ben arrested by July 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.990 | $5.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.985 | $1.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.97 | $0.990 | $3.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.993 | $3.95 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.990 | $5.75 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.991 | $5.76 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.980 | $5.64 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.89 | $0.959 | $5.65 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.952 | $5.61 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.950 | $5.61 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.960 | $5.68 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.04 | $0.940 | $5.68 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.950 | $5.74 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 15 – Dec 19?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.980 | $5.63 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.990 | $5.57 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No | sell | 5.63 | $0.989 | $5.57 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.989 | $5.57 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.993 | $5.57 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.990 | $5.56 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Progressive Cities ParlayNo | sell | 5.58 | $0.996 | $5.56 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Progressive Cities ParlayNo | buy | 5.58 | $0.998 | $5.57 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.993 | $2.35 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.989 | $3.17 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.950 | $2.23 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.980 | $2.45 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.971 | $5.89 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?No | buy | 0.5 | $0.997 | $0.5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.969 | $2.92 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.992 | $1.19 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.984 | $3.27 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.998 | $0.99 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 1.0%-2.0%?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.996 | $1.23 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 19.38K | $0.001 | $19.38 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.997 | $2.31 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 3.01K | $0.995 | $2.99K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.996 | $3K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | sell | 3.01K | $0.997 | $3K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.998 | $3K | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will NDP win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.961 | $1.44 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.994 | $1.82 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will DSVL win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?No | buy | 0.96 | $0.999 | $0.96 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.984 | $0.56 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.966 | $1.38 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.997 | $1.65 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 350 or more times October 11-18?No | buy | 0.71 | $0.990 | $0.7 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will another team win IEM Rio 2024?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.999 | $0.72 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 881.09 | $0.996 | $877.57 | Oct 6, 2024 |