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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.6 | $0.536 | $2.6 | -$0.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.371 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 2.17 |
| $0.460 |
| $1.13 |
| +$0.13 |
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.105 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 11.78 | $0.340 | $0.53 | -$3.47 |
ByteDance IPO before 2027? | Yes | 15 | $0.133 | $0.44 | -$1.56 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.06 | $0.395 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 1.34 | $0.750 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.610 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.98 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.914 | $0.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.932 | $1.24 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.330 | $1.22 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.979 | $1.41 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.942 | $1.77 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.983 | $2.55 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 13.4 | $0.987 | $13.23 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.747 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5.69 | $0.176 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.105 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.200 | $2.1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.897 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.474 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.468 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.640 | $1.6 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.892 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.522 | $7 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.940 | $1.03 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.660 | $1.19 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX | sell | 2.65 | $0.780 | $2.07 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 10.96 | $0.740 | $8.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |