Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.977 | $1.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.24 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.09 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 1.55 | $0.080 | $0.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 7.71 | $0.031 | $0.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 3.36 | $0.090 | $0.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.080 | $0.43 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 16.67 | $0.032 | $0.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.050 | $0.59 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.93 | $0.206 | $1.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.044 | $1.47 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes | sell | 4.65 | $0.330 | $1.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 13.79 | $0.074 | $1.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.033 | $1.58 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.037 | $1.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.820 | $1.82 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.260 | $1.86 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.911 | $1.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.810 | $1.93 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.780 | $1.97 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.860 | $1.97 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.982 | $1.98 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.955 | $1.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.250 | $1.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.966 | $1.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.870 | $1.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.810 | $1.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.989 | $2.01 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.951 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.968 | $2.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.910 | $2.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.920 | $2.06 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.820 | $2.07 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.770 | $2.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Labour leadership election scheduled by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.980 | $2.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.660 | $2.13 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.300 | $1.82 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.670 | $2.23 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.110 | $1.57 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.520 | $2.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.810 | $2.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.120 | $2.74 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.988 | $4.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.337 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 6.86 | $0.300 | $2.06 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.190 | $1.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.140 | $1.27 | Jun 23, 2026 |