Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 56.14 | $0.593 | $33.97 | +$0.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| No |
| 45.74 |
| $0.590 |
| $28.13 |
| +$1.14 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.24 | $0.082 | $4.73 | +$2.66 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 15.07 | $0.270 | $4.45 | +$0.38 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.390 | $2.82 | -$17.18 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.070 | $0.69 | -$0.56 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No| buy |
| 30.91 |
| $0.324 |
| $10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25.24 | $0.082 | $2.07 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 32.72 | $0.360 | $11.78 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.5 | $0.952 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.070 | $1.25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.610 | $0.12 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.820 | $5.23 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.820 | $5.46 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.16 | $0.820 | $5.05 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.830 | $4.26 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 43.62 | $0.510 | $22.25 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.9 | $0.590 | $15.28 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.944 | $2.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.33 | $0.600 | $2.6 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.4 | $0.150 | $4.56 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.94 | $0.488 | $6.31 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.490 | $0.9 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.490 | $0.15 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.028 | $1.12 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.971 | $2.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 44.76 | $0.223 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.970 | $1.74 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.971 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.96 | $0.470 | $9.38 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.970 | $5.29 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.18 | $0.474 | $4.83 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.37 | $0.491 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 248.34 | $0.228 | $56.67 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.130 | $1.2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.31 | $0.130 | $10.31 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.04 | $0.270 | $1.09 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 100.18 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.270 | $1.42 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.1 | $0.200 | $7.62 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.4 | $0.200 | $2.88 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.47 | $0.600 | $5.68 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.94 | $0.180 | $3.05 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.33 | $0.300 | $5.8 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.830 | $3.28 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.270 | $1.56 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.600 | $4.25 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.590 | $1.98 | Mar 31, 2026 |