Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.238 | $18.45 | -$5.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | 9d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 11 |
| $0.549 |
| $5.59 |
| -$0.44 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.481 | $4.9 | -$43.2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.650 | $4.63 | +$1.38 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.460 | $4.58 | +$2.28 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.550 | $4.33 | +$1.58 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.640 | $4.03 | +$0.83 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 5 | $0.640 | $3.98 | +$0.78 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 5 | $0.520 | $3.65 | +$1.05 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | Yes | 5 | $0.540 | $3.58 | +$0.88 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.410 | $3.23 | -$2.93 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.520 | $2.63 | +$0.03 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 5 | $0.571 | $2.47 | -$0.39 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23 | $0.101 | $2.08 | -$0.25 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15 | $0.295 | $2.08 | -$2.35 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7 | $0.250 | $1.68 | -$0.07 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $1.2 | -$1.8 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.480 | $1.13 | -$1.28 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.230 | $0.65 | -$1.65 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.510 |
| $2.55 |
| 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 9d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.581 | $3.49 | 23d ago |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 23d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.571 | $2.85 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.060 | $1.08 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 10 | $0.547 | $5.48 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Under | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | May 31, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.238 | $23.8 | May 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.481 | $48.1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.241 | $1.21 | May 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | May 12, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.087 | $1.04 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.075 | $1.05 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.275 | $1.38 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.081 | $1.22 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.550 | $3.85 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.512 | $10.24 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.690 | $24.15 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.290 | $13.34 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.317 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |