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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 34.61K | $0.770 | $32.1K | +$5.43K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 65.39 | $0.830 | $54.27 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 21.61K |
| $0.560 |
| $15.24K |
| +$3.14K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 2.81K | $0.927 | $2.72K | +$119.26 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.89K | $0.950 | $1.81K | +$19.3 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.677 | $1.19K | -$163.76 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.82K | $0.354 | $1.18K | +$181.66 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 405.67 | $0.986 | $403.65 | +$3.65 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.830 | $352 | +$20 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 553.48 | $0.580 | $345.93 | +$24.91 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 200 | $0.876 | $183.8 | +$8.63 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.579 | $176.85 | +$3.15 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 209 | $0.477 | $96.14 | -$3.55 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | Yes | 89.51 | $0.660 | $76.53 | +$17.45 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 98.1 | $0.470 | $76.17 | +$30.08 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 56.12 | $0.958 | $54.13 | +$0.38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.210 | $23.5 | +$2.5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 87.3 | $0.219 | $20.73 | +$1.64 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 20.69 | $0.925 | $19.15 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 500 | $0.022 | $12 | +$1 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.820 | $9.2 | +$1 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.880 | $8.13 | +$0.8 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 7.92 | $0.970 | $7.68 | -$0 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.096 | $6.8 | -$31.6 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 333.03 | $0.008 | $5.16 | +$2.5 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| buy |
| 20.69 |
| $0.925 |
| $19.14 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.970 | $7.68 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 56.12 | $0.958 | $53.75 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.83 | $0.210 | $5.63 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.410 | $3.69 | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.877 | $4.39K | 10d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.877 | $8.77K | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 130 | $0.876 | $113.85 | 10d ago |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 2.69K | $0.017 | $46.85 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 405.67 | $0.986 | $400 | 17d ago |
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.03 | $0.670 | $223.03 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.679 | $1.09K | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.67K | $0.617 | $1.65K | 29d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.620 | $9.3K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.52K | $0.863 | $6.49K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.96K | $0.182 | $720.18 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.52K | $0.186 | $468.48 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 451 | $0.847 | $382 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.06K | $0.690 | $17.29K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.78K | $0.700 | $4.05K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.209 | $263.45 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.209 | $1.05K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.223 | $13.38 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 170.59 | $0.700 | $119.41 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 345.53 | $0.258 | $89.03 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 728.63 | $0.262 | $190.73 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 1.6K | $0.256 | $409.74 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.580 | $6.67 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.395 | $817.65 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.355 | $12.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.268 | $661.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 3.25K | $0.240 | $779.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 4.9K | $0.530 | $2.6K | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 10K | $0.874 | $8.74K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.976 | $1.17K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.82K | $0.972 | $2.74K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.323 | $193.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 68.86 | $0.933 | $64.22 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.861 | $1.03K | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.688 | $1.44K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 150.92 | $0.700 | $105.64 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.95K | $0.220 | $647.91 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.4K | $0.940 | $3.2K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 424.51 | $0.920 | $390.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.679 | $169.74 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.679 | $678.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |