Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 73.53 | $0.340 | $40.44 | +$15.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | 24d ago |
|
| No |
| 35.48 |
| $0.930 |
| $33.53 |
| +$0.53 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | No | 21.88 | $0.960 | $20.84 | -$0.16 |
| Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20.77 | +$0.77 |
| buy |
| 35.48 |
| $0.930 |
| $33 |
| 24d ago |
 Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | 24d ago |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.340 | $25 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.960 | $21 | 24d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.880 | $11 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.6 | $0.941 | $40.08 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.17 | $0.920 | $25 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.960 | $15 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.81 | $0.961 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.960 | $40 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 33.34 | $0.992 | $33.06 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.56 | $0.978 | $25 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 50.56 | $0.989 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | buy | 66.94 | $0.984 | $65.87 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.957 | $30.38 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.66 | $0.968 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 40.44 | $0.989 | $40 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in January?No | buy | 20.43 | $0.979 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?No | buy | 20.7 | $0.966 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.988 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 31.65 | $0.790 | $25 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 135.27 | $0.977 | $132.16 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.980 | $10.22 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 41.33 | $0.988 | $40.83 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.973 | $7.82 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20.92 | $0.956 | $20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.983 | $11 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No | buy | 13.08 | $0.994 | $13 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | buy | 12.11 | $0.991 | $12 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Nov 9, 2025 |