Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 8.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $1 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.272 | $7.35 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.180 | $0.95 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 3.49 | $0.178 | $0.62 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.480 | $1.84 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.330 | $0.69 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.050 | $0.45 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.080 | $0.89 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.286 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 47.87 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 28.89 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk before July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before August?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.087 | $1.24 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.368 | $5.75 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?Yes | buy | 28.33 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?Yes | buy | 49.57 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.181 | $2.17 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |