Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?No | sell | 613.41 | $0.791 | $485.15 | Sep 13, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 613.41 |
| $0.820 |
| $503 |
| Sep 13, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 433 | $0.030 | $12.99 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 398.1 | $0.021 | $8.36 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 242.38 | $0.021 | $5.09 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 224.8 | $0.050 | $11.24 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.56K | $0.007 | $10.89 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 814.81 | $0.027 | $22 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 740.74 | $0.027 | $20 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Iran Nuke by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.64K | $0.006 | $10.22 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by June 12?Yes | buy | 509.78 | $0.045 | $22.94 | Jun 12, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by June 12?Yes | buy | 566.67 | $0.044 | $25 | Jun 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after 2024 May meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.006 | $7.81 | Apr 28, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by June 12?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Apr 27, 2024 |
| Iran Nuke by July 31?Yes | buy | 795.65 | $0.060 | $47.89 | Apr 22, 2024 |
 Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.910 | $47.89 | Apr 22, 2024 |
| Iran Nuke by July 31?Yes | buy | 848.14 | $0.059 | $50.04 | Apr 22, 2024 |
 US bank failure in April?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.030 | $20 | Apr 19, 2024 |
| US bank failure in April?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.021 | $50 | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after 2024 May meeting?Yes | buy | 388.62 | $0.109 | $42.36 | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after 2024 May meeting?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.045 | $10 | Apr 3, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Apr 3, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after 2024 May meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.045 | $50 | Apr 3, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k today?Yes | buy | 119.64 | $0.084 | $10 | Mar 8, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k today?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Mar 8, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by May 1?Yes | buy | 7.88 | $0.160 | $1.26 | Mar 6, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by May 1?Yes | buy | 757.25 | $0.160 | $121.16 | Mar 6, 2024 |
 $PEPE listed on Coinbase in March?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Mar 6, 2024 |
+emblazoned+across+its+surface.+The+symbol+is+designed+to+appear+as+if+it's+part+of+the+sun's+fi.webp) Bitcoin all time high today?Yes | buy | 236.44 | $0.407 | $96.22 | Mar 4, 2024 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | sell | 310.37 | $0.310 | $96.21 | Mar 4, 2024 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 310.38 | $0.320 | $99.32 | Mar 1, 2024 |
 Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 1, 2024 |
| Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?Yes | buy | 142.26 | $0.070 | $10 | Mar 1, 2024 |
| Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Mar 1, 2024 |
 Will WIF hit $1 by March 15?Yes | buy | 212.4 | $0.419 | $89.01 | Feb 28, 2024 |
 Will the crypto market cap be between 1.8 trillion and 1.9 trillion on March 1?No | sell | 89.46 | $0.995 | $89.01 | Feb 28, 2024 |
 Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.991 | $118.92 | Feb 27, 2024 |
| Will the crypto market cap be between 1.8 trillion and 1.9 trillion on March 1?No | buy | 89.46 | $0.950 | $84.99 | Feb 25, 2024 |
| Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 25, 2024 |
| Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?Yes | sell | 369.41 | $0.992 | $366.43 | Feb 20, 2024 |
| Will WIF hit $1 by March 15?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Will WIF hit $1 by March 15?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?Yes | buy | 222.36 | $0.357 | $79.45 | Feb 13, 2024 |
| Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Feb 13, 2024 |
 Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?Yes | sell | 129.58 | $0.999 | $129.45 | Feb 12, 2024 |
| Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?Yes | buy | 18.32 | $0.440 | $8.06 | Feb 9, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | Feb 9, 2024 |
 Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Feb 9, 2024 |