Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 8.69 | $0.570 | $8.04 | +$3.08 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.690 | $4.83 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.65 |
| $0.570 |
| $7.31 |
| +$2.38 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.61 | $0.540 | $5.43 | +$0.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.89 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.52 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.21 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.700 | $3.61 | -$1.39 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 6.49 | $0.240 | $2.63 | +$1.07 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 6.32 | $0.220 | $1.86 | +$0.47 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 8.15 | $0.400 | $1.75 | -$1.51 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.16 | -$0.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 4 | $0.340 | $1.14 | -$0.22 |
| buy |
| 6.03 |
| $0.229 |
| $1.38 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.350 | $2.59 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.586 | $4.72 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 14.2 | $0.300 | $4.26 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.500 | $4.97 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 7.85 | $0.260 | $2.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.340 | $1.36 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | May 12, 2026 |
 Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?Up | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | May 12, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | May 11, 2026 |
 Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 11?Up | buy | 9.16 | $0.550 | $5.04 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.393 | $3.26 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.760 | $4.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.750 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.800 | $4.95 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 24?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.590 | $4.83 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.400 | $3.08 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.280 | $1.8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on April 21?Down | buy | 8.38 | $0.440 | $3.69 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.954 | $6.91 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.610 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.210 | $1.21 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.26 | $0.270 | $1.69 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.230 | $1.47 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.370 | $2.89 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.350 | $2.52 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 10?Up | buy | 9.42 | $0.510 | $4.8 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 9?Up | buy | 9.24 | $0.520 | $4.81 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.230 | $1.47 | Apr 8, 2026 |