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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 35.23 | $0.880 | $31.18 | +$0.18 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 167.27 | $0.940 | $157.23 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 21.51 |
| $0.930 |
| $20.63 |
| +$0.63 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 7.72 | $0.880 | $7.4 | +$0.61 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 5.41 | $0.925 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 António Guterres out by December 31? | No | 5.06 | $0.790 | $3.27 | -$0.73 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.82 | $0.710 | $0.97 | -$1.03 |
| sell |
| 27.94 |
| $0.952 |
| $26.61 |
| 11d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 71.69 | $0.930 | $66.67 | 11d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 6.87 | $0.930 | $6.39 | 11d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 27.47 | $0.920 | $25.27 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 83.96 | $0.930 | $78.08 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.750 | $4.69 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.959 | $2.06 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 4.25 | $0.972 | $4.13 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.931 | $5.47 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.967 | $5.02 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.58 | $0.987 | $2.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.950 | $16 | May 6, 2026 |
| António Guterres out by December 31?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.925 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.987 | $5.02 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.989 | $5.1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.987 | $5.11 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.989 | $5.11 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.988 | $5.14 | May 6, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.08 | $0.990 | $5.03 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.989 | $5.13 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.07 | $0.990 | $5.02 | May 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.985 | $5.35 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.913 | $10.14 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.12 | $0.998 | $10.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.890 | $2.3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.982 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 32.54 | $0.991 | $32.25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 32.54 | $0.972 | $31.63 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | sell | 32.61 | $0.970 | $31.63 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.860 | $5.91 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 32.62 | $0.940 | $30.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 31.22 | $0.982 | $30.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |