Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 12 | $0.250 | $9.66 | +$6.66 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.96 |
| $0.456 |
| $4.6 |
| -$0.4 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $4.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.246 | $1.69 | -$1.31 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.380 | $1.08 | -$0.92 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
| buy |
| 5.56 |
| $0.180 |
| $1 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.248 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by May 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.91 | $0.344 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. TimberwolvesWolves | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. TimberwolvesWolves | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.200 | $1.67 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. NuggetsWolves | sell | 10.48 | $0.420 | $4.4 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | sell | 232.22 | $0.042 | $9.84 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 3.31 | $0.590 | $1.95 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. NuggetsWolves | buy | 10.25 | $0.280 | $2.87 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.18 | $0.420 | $0.92 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.18 | $0.420 | $0.92 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 8.7 | $0.100 | $0.87 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp | buy | 2.52 | $0.360 | $0.91 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 21.54 | $0.040 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.510 | $1.57 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.270 | $3.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.49 | $0.410 | $1.84 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 10.84 | $0.080 | $0.87 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.52 | $0.360 | $0.91 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown | buy | 20.17 | $0.360 | $7.26 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 21.54 | $0.040 | $0.86 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 10.84 | $0.080 | $0.87 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | sell | 13.28 | $0.820 | $10.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 10.67 | $0.430 | $4.59 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 2.05 | $0.450 | $0.92 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.42 | $0.200 | $0.88 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.57 | $0.602 | $0.94 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 7.04 | $0.530 | $3.73 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 42.94 | $0.020 | $0.86 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp | sell | 9.5 | $0.990 | $9.41 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.01 | $0.310 | $2.79 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 21.54 | $0.040 | $0.86 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 6.26 | $0.140 | $0.88 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.93 | $0.110 | $0.87 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.71 | $0.240 | $0.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.71 | $0.240 | $0.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 5.49 | $0.150 | $0.82 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.79 | $0.520 | $0.93 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 19, 2026 |