Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 666.67 | $0.075 | $20.33 | -$29.67 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 235.84 | $0.230 | $54.24 | 27d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 142.86 |
| $0.035 |
| $5 |
| May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.051 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | May 10, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | May 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | May 10, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.075 | $50 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 290.09 | $0.034 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | May 5, 2026 |
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 138.15 | $0.036 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 121.07 | $0.826 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.999 | $113.52 | May 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No | sell | 134.26 | $0.998 | $133.99 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 65.09 | $0.077 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 109.78 | $0.911 | $100 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 91.52 | $0.022 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 333.33 | $0.551 | $183.75 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No | sell | 66.68 | $0.320 | $21.34 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No | buy | 134.26 | $0.372 | $50 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.120 | $40 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 111.66 | $0.896 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 306.64 | $0.326 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 119.15 | $0.820 | $97.7 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 595.23 | $0.123 | $72.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 251.1 | $0.398 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 595.24 | $0.084 | $50 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?No | buy | 333.54 | $0.030 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?No | buy | 174.48 | $0.057 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No | buy | 66.69 | $0.150 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 4.61 | $0.999 | $4.61 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | sell | 811.6 | $0.424 | $344.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | buy | 81.53 | $0.123 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | buy | 832.12 | $0.036 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | buy | 811.61 | $0.037 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | buy | 985.47 | $0.030 | $29.27 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.090 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |