Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 27.4 | $0.730 | $26.84 | +$6.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.580 |
| $21.15 |
| +$3.75 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 17.11 | $0.760 | $13.6 | +$0.6 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 43.5 | $0.160 | $7.18 | +$0.22 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes| buy |
| 15.79 |
| $0.760 |
| $12 |
| 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 13.63 | $0.999 | $13.62 | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.5 | $0.160 | $6.96 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.81 | $0.416 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 51.52 | $0.999 | $51.47 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 18.35 | $0.830 | $15.23 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.164 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.840 | $24 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.740 | $2.55 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 21.38 | $0.047 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | sell | 3.11 | $0.990 | $3.08 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 3.11 | $0.960 | $2.98 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Dogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |