Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.32 | $0.910 | $10.89 | +$0.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.22 |
| $0.820 |
| $1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.994 | $2.33 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.32 | $0.910 | $10.3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.920 | $1.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Astronomer Divorce ParlayNo | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.930 | $1.1 | May 18, 2025 |
Menendez brother released from custody before August?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Solana all time high by June 30?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.939 | $1.1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
New Pope before July?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 11–18?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.935 | $1.1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.986 | $1.6 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.986 | $2.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.820 | $1.2 | Jan 9, 2025 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.940 | $1.3 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 5-6 times Dec 6-13?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.006 | $0.18 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 6-13?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.060 | $1.38 | Dec 10, 2024 |
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.945 | $1.2 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 25, 2024 |
70°F in NYC in December?No | buy | 0.35 | $0.860 | $0.3 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 1-8?Yes | sell | 17.75 | $0.250 | $4.44 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?Yes | buy | 0.23 | $0.880 | $0.2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in September?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.950 | $0.5 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Iran military response before October?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 11, 2024 |